I’m struggling at the moment to figure out where to go from here. It feels like the battle lines are drawn and minds are made up among the guide community and there is a pretty good delineation between the “For” and “Against” camps. It is also looking more and more likely the “For” camp has been laying the groundwork for this for some time. We “Againsts” are late to the party.
One problem we are going to run into is people don’t usually change their minds. I listened to a great episode of This American Life called “The Incredible Rarity of Changing Your Mind.” It was an interesting story and confirmed something we all know deep down, people usually don’t change their minds. That means all those Facebook arguments haven’t moved the needle one bit. Politicians have almost stopped trying to change the minds of those who disagree with them. Instead, they just rally their supporters, turning them into SUPER SUPPORTERS and since politics is very much a Zero Sum Game, those in the opposition turn into SUPER ENEMIES.
We’d probably all be better off if things weren’t between SUPER SUPPORTERS and SUPER ENEMIES. I’m trying to keep an open mind and to listen to other points of view. Sometimes I even succeed.
At this point there doesn’t seem to be a second draft getting circulated. As I understand it, the actual legislation will be written by the Attorney General’s Office and then it goes to the Cabinet. I’ve heard it doesn’t stand a great chance of making it out of the Cabinet (others might see the economic downside a little more clearly at the Cabinet level), but when you have a country of 377,000, you can’t be sure of anything. Throw in a good dose of nationalism and things tend toward unpredictable.
I’ll try to keep you posted on what I’m hearing.
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